Trying not to over-share is my natural state and I am usually pretty bad at it

  • 0 Posts
  • 27 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: March 7th, 2025

help-circle

  • Not everybody on the right is a narcissist, and it helps nobody to flatten the personhood of millions of people in that way if the actual goal is positive change. It implies that there is no way to communicate or come to an understanding with any of them, which is just not how the world works and only undermines and ignores the potential many of them have to learn better. It takes types more patient than myself to reach them, but I’ve seen firsthand that it is entirely possible to change minds on these things. If Bernie Sanders was able to get fox news viewers to cheer for socialist ideas, then they (or at least some of them) are not so lost as to never be found.

    I agree that many of them will not reconsider their siding until trouble kicks down their own doors, but I don’t think giving up on people who have been fooled is actually a path toward true betterment.












  • I think the possible motivations/reasons behind this prolonged effort could be read in a number of ways tbh.

    Scenario 1: they simply haven’t played all their cards yet.

    This is, in my opinion, the least likely on its own because it was made clear early on that Putin intended for this to be a quick operation. It only undermines his perceived power to say this and then choose to feign weakness. Compound it with either or both of the following, though, and it does start to seem like a picture is coming together…

    Scenario 2: putin is not acting on reason.

    There are rumors that he is terminally ill and acting on a desire to shore up his legacy before dying, leading to frantic miscalculations. Who knows if the rumor is true, but, given his age and the commonality of mortality, I could be convinced. He’s clearly got the ego necessary to fall into this sort of thought if circumstances gave a little nudge and securing Ukraine as a Russian territory would probably do wonders for a fragile pride like his.

    Scenario 3: the invasion of Ukraine is not the actual point of this operation.

    With the Kremlin’s well known affinity for espionage and psyop tactics, this one seems the most likely to me. I won’t pretend to know what the actual goal beyond control would be here, but it would never surprise me to learn that they have done one thing 100% in order to set up or hide another. From wars, to negotiations, to tactical games; controlling where the opposition looks, or further, what they think of when they see it, is often a key aspect of securing a win condition.

    Their wheels have been turning toward toppling their fellow contenders for the title of #1 world power for a long time now, and Putin seems real ready for something to budge. Either he is a mad fool, lashing out at the world to appease his ego, or he is playing a devious long game and aiming for something bigger than he is letting on. Whatever the cause and whatever else he’s still got up his sleeve, it seems very likely that he is confident in the cards he has yet to play. If he doesn’t secure that legacy and he’s on his way out anyway, why would he care if he permanently blacks the skies with nuclear war? I wouldn’t put it past him to hold his confidence up on this final “fuck every fucking one of you” to the world.

    But at the same time, I’m a legitimate dumdum so idk whatever. Just like people obsess over ww2 these days, people are gonna go nuts over this era someday soon tho. I’d bet on that