

is widely understood to be the option that results in the fewest casualties
Western economists thought that sanctioning Russia was the best option to instantly win the war. If you still think that, you’re on some heavy copium. Or you directly benefit from the money spent on directing the whatever-the-fuck-th sanctions package.
Your scenarios of doom presume that one sub could destroy the west. You assume that we would not be able to defend against their attempted launch when we’ve spent decades investing in top secret defense systems for this exact scenario.
And what if you were wrong? You’re not playing around with fucking rocks, a few warheads of the thousands is enough to wipe the life from this rock.
You assume Putin’s delivery systems will function after decades of maintenance by notorious black market scalpers. You assume Russian soldiers would be willing to erase their families for Putin’s attack order.
Some won’t function, some will. It’s not like it’s 6000 something nukes that are gonna get stuck in silos lmao. Also, soldiers are nothing if not good at making idiotic decisions when asked to do so.
A conventional first strike means very few, if any, of Russia’s delivery systems would launch. It is extremely unlikely that any of them (if any were to actually launch, given all of the roadblocks I’ve mentioned) would make it to a target.
Instead of half the world being instantly turned to glass, it’s only gonna be some random unfortunate places. How sweet. Can’t wait till a nuke drops on Ohio and the serious generals residing in bunkers shrug and tell everyone that it could’ve been worse.
Additionally, every soldier and leader in a warhead firing position knows an attempted launch of any nukes would result in nuclear annihilation of Moscow, St. Petersburg and other cities. They also know that not launching means saving the lives of their families.
Back to the point above, soldiers are fucking dumb. You don’t join the military because you’re the brightest person around, you join the military because you’re not needed anywhere else.
If we strike first (conventionally), it is extremely likely that we will suffer no casualties at all and it will also limit the casualties suffered by Russia.
“Extremely likely” means “we don’t really care if someone in the middle of nowhere gets glassed, we just need to prove our mighty military might.”


russian secret services are only good at imprisoning students and listening in on the phone calls criticizing the war
god forbid they actually have to do anything useful