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Cake day: February 29th, 2024

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  • It was an election season where the race was polling around 50/50 pretty much throughout. Even when one candidate had a lead, with margins of error, no they didn’t. A ~50% probability of losing is huge, even if many polls did show her slightly ahead. Consider a 20-sided die. 9 sides are red, 11 are blue. You wouldn’t be surprised if you rolled red.

    News media has no idea how to talk about polls because they don’t want to talk about probability, they want to talk about which number is bigger as if it’s a scoreboard. I didn’t want him to win, but the polls weren’t wrong.


  • Tin@lemmy.worldtomemes@lemmy.world•I mean...violence is bad.
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    2 years ago

    Ah, good. So the corrupt, evil, and greedy tactics of health insurers are finally mitigated to… checks notes oh, to what they were last week.

    You know they’re sitting on a wish list of awful policies while they’re waiting for this to blow over so they can implement them when we aren’t looking. Fuck that.