• 0 Posts
  • 34 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: June 30th, 2025

help-circle
  • In short. Presumably the idea would be to 1. only beam down what is needed, and 2. have it replace fossil fuels, which are very much responsible for the change in the planet’s energy imbalance.

    It would also reduce the energy cost of less efficient ‘on Earth’ solar arrays, which have problems like intermittency that orbital solar panels wouldn’t have.

    IF this is anywhere near technically feasible it seems like exploring the idea publicly like this isn’t a bad thing.

    BUT, after a couple decades of watching proposed miracle tech going nowhere, I can say that ultimately hopium really isn’t healthy: we needed to get real a decade or two (or three or four) ago. Relying on non-functioning future tech like carbon capture/storage (or this, if it isn’t actually feasible) is nothing more than justification for not making necessary changes now.


  • I am currently going through the algebra/calculus used to train LLM’s, in order to better write ai agents in my chosen niche.

    It remains to be seen exactly what future ai has in terms of eliminating white collar office jobs.

    I would be very surprised if LLM’s achieved anything approaching AGI in my lifetime (if ever). I would be surprised if LLM’s alone got to a point where they could replace white collar office jobs in at least the next decade (but concede it is not impossible at some point). I wouldn’t want to bet what might happen beyond a decade either way. I think large parts of many office jobs can be made redundant by ai agents working in conjunction with LLM’s now or in the near future. But getting those agents accurate enough is not easy, and still require quite a lot of human intervention.

    Any AI toaster/coffee machine/bed you might see available to buy today is just nonsense, presumably the result of companies hyping ai in order to try and return some sort of short term income from the massive capital expenditure.



  • Part4@infosec.pubtomemes@lemmy.world•I love old sci-fi
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Except getting the dates wrong is exactly what the person writing the text in the image in the OP is showing was optimistic.

    In reality it is incredibly, perhaps foolishly, optimistic to believe humanity (or just Americans) will explore the deep reaches of the universe at all.

    This belief in exploring space as some kind of new manifest destiny is a peculiarly American phenomenon resulting from various obvious historical facts. It seems to be very difficult to let go of. Elon Musk hijacking the new space race for his personal profit, resulting in the coming loss to China will be hard to accept.




  • In terms of office work, the technology pretty much already exists to cause a change akin to the change that happened from pre-photocopier (so typing pools), only the odd phone line per office building, no fax, obviously no computers/email/internet/mobile phones era office work to the office work of today.

    The energy use is unconscionable. The people currently owning the tech that runs large language models are awful, but it is possible for companies and individuals to run their own llm’s.

    Anyway, the point is, would it be daft for anyone to insist on working in a typing pool in a 1950s office today? I get why people dislike ai. I am not really trying to defend it, I’m just saying that it really is a mistake for anyone to just try and ignore it.


  • The IOC sell the rights for billions then tell the athletes, the actual content creators, they have to be amateur. In that sense the athletes come across as complete mugs.

    Obviously a small number of high profile athletes make loads of money, the rest are skint. Sound familiar? (Hint: hello capitalism), whose ‘competition’ ethos/blag is absolutely promoted by the games. Unfortunately for us all, we need global co-operation, if we are to divert course away from cataclysmic climate change, not global competition, with the many ending up skint while the few take all of the money. The olympics do not help; they are an anachronism

    Trump using it for an illegal re-election boost, as he inevitably will, really puts another nail in its coffin. Pity the world cup is in the US (again). FIFA is killing that goose too.






  • I’m sure that silicon valley executives visualise a future where they own the machines that produce all intellectual property and do most jobs. They see a return to feudalism where they are the lords.

    I think this greater vision is about as likely to be realised as it is that Elon Musk will invent full self driving, or robots that aren’t obviously remotely operated, or a tesla roadster, or a battery powered articulated lorry with thermo nuclear explosion proof glass, or building a rocket to get the US back to the moon before the Chinese in what is clearly a new space race/pissing match. Or a hyperloop, or ever getting anywhere near to building a colony on Mars, or, or, or.

    But I don’t think it is just a case of AGI or bust. LLM’s augmented with ai agents have a very real potential to replace a capitalism-destabilising percentage of white collar jobs without AGI.

    Just like the dot com bubble popping didn’t kill the web, I do think it is unlikely that any possible current AI bubble popping will kill capital’s push to automate jobs away.

    (And as far as I can see the AI bubble is the result of massive capital expenditure rather than rampant speculation, so because I am pretty confident in the ‘value’ to capital of LLM’s + AI Agent’s, I don’t really see it as the same kind of a bubble as the dotcom bubble.)