• 40 Posts
  • 248 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • Source of their statement:

    https://www.naturvardsverket.se/data-och-statistik/klimat/vaxthusgaser-nettoutslapp-och-nettoupptag-fran-markanvandning/

    OK let’s have a look at how the development of land use emissions compared to the ideological alignment of governments during the same time period… :

    So, in short, during blue periods during the last 15 years (right wing governments) land use co2 absorption has been mostly static and during the red periods (left wing governments) land use co2 absorption almost halved (57.8 Mtonnes of CO2-equivalents in 2014 --> 33.6 Mtonnes in 2022).

    This doesn’t really seem to line up with the narrative of reduction in absorption being a problem caused by a right wing government.

    Instead, from what I’ve gathered when speaking to people in the forestry business it’s rather a question of reduced growth due to drier summers as well as losses due to bug infestations and forest fires. The other half of the puzzle is massively increased electricity prices becoming a demand driver for fuel wood as a method of offsetting the periods with both highest electricity prices and highest demand (wintertime), which in turn was caused by premature shutdowns of nuclear power plants for political reasons.

    They did cut the amount of biofuels in both diesel & gasoline however, which accounts for most of the 7% emissions increase, though it is debatable whether the actual emissions benefits of biofuels match the on-paper benefits. Furthermore, fuel costs had become a primary cost driver in inflation, this slashed fuel fuel prices from amongst the highest in the EU to amongst the lowest.

    It also means that Sweden risks being in violation of a range of EU agreements, including the union’s Nature Restoration Law, Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry (LULUCF) Regulation.

    From what I’ve read these regulations were drafted based on how forests are handled in continental Europe (where there is basically none) with little to no regard for how forestry has been handled for centuries in northern Europe. The reason that our forests remain is that they are productive - these regulations threaten the Nordic forestry model fundamentally.



  • Thank you for taking the time to explain your position. I hadn’t seen their latest report until now.

    Most of the above figures have been similar (and I think rather understandable if unfortunate) since oct. 7, but the increased support for forced expulsion & Katz plan is worrying.

    Realistically it seems that there won’t be a negotiated end to the war between Israel & Hamas, I instead expect an enforced peace where Hamas never surrenders and Gaza instead is put under complete Israeli military occupation until (long term) a semi-autonomous civilian regime is set up similar to the W.B.

    Of note, I have previously and still do find this one:

    Oppose peace negotiations with the Palestinian Authority.

    to be a bit of an odd pre-oct. 7 relic. It doesn’t really apply to the current war in Gaza since the PA isn’t a participant. At the very least they should run a separate, similar question regarding Hamas to get a fair assessment of support for a negotiated end to the current war.


  • Our commitments were made in an entirely different realpolitik environment, before the pandemic and the war in Ukraine.

    Swedish gdp per capita has been stagnant for several years with significant real wage decline, particularly for low to lower mid-income households - an estimated 6.5-16.5% decline since pre pandemic levels in 2019, only starting to properly recover in the past year or so.

    Simultaneously there’s increasing healthcare costs tied to an aging population, massive needs to increase defence spending (1% of GDP in 2019, 2.4% currently, 5% goal) as well as significant and increasing societal economic losses from crime.

    Something has had to budge and this is, unfortunately, one of those things. Work continues albeit at a lower priority.

    Make no mistake. Sweden is still and will continue to be leagues ahead of most developed nations, and does really well even compared to the global average. Compared to a Swede, the average human has a carbon footprint 26% larger, European 50% larger, German 90% larger, Chinese 126% larger and each of y’all americans emit almost as much as 4 Swedes put together on average.