Russia is planning an armed “provocation” on Polish soil to test Nato’s resolve, the United States has warned.
Polish critical infrastructure could be targeted by missiles and drones or Russian soldiers could cross the border into Nato territory.
Washington has issued several warnings to Warsaw about the plot, sources close to Karol Nawrocki, the Polish president, told Onet, the Polish news outlet, which, along with The Telegraph, is owned by Axel Springer and is part of its Global Reporters Network.
Additional context:
The United States has warned Poland that Russia may be considering an armed provocation on Polish territory in the coming months to test NATO’s resolve and pressure Western allies to scale back support for Ukraine
According to Ukrainska Pravda, citing The Telegraph, sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki said Washington had warned Warsaw that Russia was weighing scenarios that could include drone attacks on critical infrastructure, such as power plants, or a simulated large-scale air attack designed to force Poland to activate its air defenses.
A more radical scenario could involve a hybrid attack in Poland’s border region, potentially with the participation of Belarusian forces. Russia could attempt to explain away a border violation by claiming its troops had become lost because of GPS disruption or were carrying out a rescue mission after a helicopter emergency.
NATOs resolve? Putin had better hope we can all hold Poland back from finally acting on what has been the burning national desire to turn Russians into a fine pink mist.
We won’t hold Poland back. We’ll be right there, shoulder by shoulder!
Kyiv Post tends to be a little less bombastic with their reporting:
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/79532
They word it differently, saying the US warned that Russia was “considering” an attack. This is probably true, and has probably been true every year for the past several decades. Simply because a nation’s military planners “consider” pretty much everything they can think of.
Thanks. Updated the post to include Kyiv’s perspective.
Now i’m no military expert but even I know out of all the possible ideas Russia could have, this is the worst.
Poland is quite literally chomping at the bit for the ruskies to try something. They’ve been prepping for it for god knows how long now. The Polish Military would absolutely kick the russians teeth in on their own without the need of NATO if it called for it.
russians are stupid but this is just posturing. empty threats. For the decades of russian lying they’ve never been able to get good at it. like someone who has been playing the piano for years but still can’t play twinkle, twinkle, little star…at some point you just need to tell them “stop, you’re not good at it, and you never will be.”
I genuinely thought about 3 years ago that Poland was going to join the war, with or without consent of Nato on the side of Ukraine. From their pov, they won’t get an opportunity to hurt Russia as much as it would now in the next 50 years at least. If this was a game and no actual lives were at stake, or if Russia had no nukes, they would have pulled that trigger already.
That being said, if sufficiently provoked, I don’t expect them to sit idly by. From a geostrategic pov it might actually be necessary for them to secure their eastern flank, given that Germany is rearming and afd is very friendly to the Kremlin.
Considering how badly they seem to be doing in Ukraine, this seems like a fairly large tactical error.
Putin needs to mobilize the Russian populace to make any progress in Ukraine, but doing so would make the urban centers of Moscow and St. Petersburg revolt. He needs a damn good reason. If he doesn’t mobilize, Moscow and St. Petersburg are going to revolt, and he’s going to end his days hanging from a lamppost.
We can but hope
Then EU members should leak that they’re considering taking Kaliningrad.
du hast kaiserberg und deutschland falsch geschrieben
Königsberg… i say we should take as EUs common land… it has a good military port after all.
- Provoke NATO into conflict
- Blame NATO joining conflict for having to end conflict
“Why would NATO do this?”
Oh that’s interesting. And plausible.
Doubt it. Even Putin knows not to check for electricity by pissing on the fuse box.
Sure, create a new front when you’re getting the shit kicked out of you at the current front. At least you’ve got plenty of air defense to defend you from two attackers instead of one. Oh wait… You don’t even have the air defenses to stay safe from Ukraine.
I’d also imagine they’re almost out of drug addicted convicts to send to the front lines as well
From the article this seems less like opening a full-on front in conception and more like a teehee wow our drone seems to have gotten turned around and flew into a substation sort of provocation. An unambiguous invasion will activate more or less everyone but relatively piddly incursions don’t typically excite as much of the population because many away from the area tend to see the cost of war as worse than the cost of tolerating those incursions. So ironically a well-calibrated attack in this gray zone kind of way that falls just short of the line can actually divide people in the victim country rather than unite them, and if a particular sort of incursion is tolerated once then it’s not a far step for Russia to keep spamming that out and take advantage of the additional flexibility. I think that the former is more of the goal because there is a burgeoning division in Polish society on aiding Ukraine or not that Russia is trying to make as wide as possible, things get much more dire for Ukraine if Polish help is cut.
Every once in a while Russia does screw up with where the line is (ex. when Turkey blew up a jet they were flying over Turkish territory) but even in that case where they did get a vigorous response they kind of won anyway because it drove a big wedge between Turkey and the rest of NATO. Then isolated and threatened-feeling Turkey sought to improve relations with Moscow and among other things actually started officially allowing Russian jets to fly over their territory to Syria, up until the invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
I just want to tell you I always love reading your comments. They’re always thoughtful and interesting. I know you with the tag “Knows Chinese history” and when I see this tag, China-related or not, I know it will be good.
Aw thanks, that’s kind of you to say. =) I am still relatively new to Lemmy and didn’t even know it was possible to make custom tags for users so I’d also like to say thanks for broadcasting out neat info!
I don’t think it’s part of Lemmy per se, rather it’s an app feature. I use Voyager.
Shouldn’t trust the word of Russian sympathizers but it wouldn’t hurt to be on guard just in case.
Poland will mop up the floor with what’s left of his troops. He’d be fucking stupid to even try. Makes me wonder if he’s spreading this rumor via his puppets for some other reason-- and it most definitely has something to do with Ukraine.
Poland like “try me”
“The US government says” a lot of crazy shit. Russia doesnt have the oil or cash reserves, or troops or hardware to initiate an attack on NATO. I imagine its the US spreading fear for its own advantage before the NATO meeting.
Not again this warmongering crap…these days Russia is supposedly attacking western countries left and right.
Several choices:
- psyop by Ukraine, wouldn’t be the first
- Russian scare-mongering, wouldn’t be the first
- actual Russian planning, which would suck
Which one it is, no idea
Or US trying to sell some equipment faster.
Russia is supposedly attacking western countries left and right.
Yes and no. With the exception of Ukraine, they’re mostly going the propaganda route and using a certain puppet president to achieve their goals.
Puppets, yes, actual military operation? So not likely.
russia desperately needs to be conquered so it can get aid.
This mildly concerns me because I’ve had a paranoid thought that the orange turd has been planning to announce the official US withdrawal from NATO on July 4th.
Not to say Poland and the other NATO allies couldn’t handle a deeply weakened Russian military but no idea what downstream effects this may have
Oh shit… I never thought about that.
Fuck off Putin!
